Former Bank of England Governor Mark Carney and Liberal Party Win Canadian Election

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Local sources from Canada: BBC, Toronto Star.
UK coverage: ITVX.

Former Bank of England Governor Mark Carney and his Liberal Party have emerged victorious in the Canadian election, with threats from Donald Trump inadvertently boosting their campaign. Although Carney’s party fell short of an outright majority, they are likely to secure the additional votes needed to pass legislation. Carney, who ran on an anti-Trump platform, pledged to safeguard Canadian workers affected by the ongoing trade war and accused the US of attempting to ‘break’ Canada and seize control. In a surprising turn of events, Trump congratulated Carney on his victory and the two leaders have agreed to meet in the near future.

According to preliminary results, Carney’s Liberals have secured 169 seats in the House of Commons, but they require 172 for a majority. The Conservatives, led by Pierre Poilievre, will remain the second-largest party with 144 seats. Jagmeet Singh, leader of the New Democratic Party (NDP), has also lost his seat. Both the Liberals and the Conservatives have witnessed a significant increase in their share of the national vote compared to four years ago, with smaller parties, particularly the NDP, experiencing a decline in popularity.

The rise in support for the Conservatives was not enough to save Poilievre, who lost his own seat in Carleton, Ontario. Despite initially enjoying a substantial lead over the Liberals in opinion polls, the resignation of former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, Carney’s arrival, and the imposition of tariffs by President Donald Trump caused a dramatic shift in public sentiment. In a similar outcome, NDP leader Singh also failed to retain his seat in the House of Commons, finishing third behind the Liberal and Conservative candidates.

Canada’s ‘first-past-the-post’ electoral system awards the seat to the candidate with the highest number of votes in each electoral district. The Liberals and Conservatives have dominated the popular vote, each receiving over 40% of the total ballots cast across the country. Consequently, these two parties are projected to secure a combined 90% of the seats in the House of Commons. The Bloc Québécois, which only runs candidates in Quebec, has secured 22 seats. The NDP has been reduced to seven seats, while the Green Party has only managed to secure one seat.

The Liberals have emerged victorious in key provinces such as Ontario and Quebec, which account for 200 of Canada’s 343 electoral districts. In Alberta, the Conservatives have won all but three of the 37 seats. British Columbia witnessed a closely contested race, with the Conservatives securing 19 seats and the Liberals winning 20. The Toronto area, particularly the ‘905’ region, was closely watched during the election. While the Liberals managed to reclaim several seats in Toronto, the Conservatives were successful in flipping some ridings in the surrounding areas. The NDP also suffered a setback, losing the Hamilton Centre seat, which they had held for over two decades.

Quebec, as the second most populous province in Canada, significantly influences federal election outcomes. The Bloc Québécois, which advocates for Quebec’s interests exclusively, defended 35 seats, but preliminary results indicate that they have lost 13 of them. The Liberals narrowly won the Terrebonne suburb of Montreal, defeating the Bloc by a mere 35 votes. They also reclaimed LaSalle-Émard-Verdun, which the Bloc had won in a by-election last year. The NDP managed to retain their seat in Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie in Montreal.

In summary, Mark Carney and his Liberal Party have emerged as the winners of the Canadian election, albeit without an outright majority. With threats from Donald Trump inadvertently boosting their campaign, Carney’s party is expected to secure the necessary votes to pass legislation. The Conservatives, led by Pierre Poilievre, will remain the main opposition party. The election saw a rise in support for the two largest parties, while smaller parties, particularly the NDP, experienced a decline in popularity. The Liberals have secured the most seats in key provinces such as Ontario and Quebec, while the Conservatives dominated in Alberta. The Toronto area witnessed a mix of wins for both parties, with the NDP losing a long-held seat. The Bloc Québécois suffered losses in Quebec, with the Liberals narrowly winning key ridings. Overall, the election results reflect a shifting political landscape in Canada.