TheLittleTwentieth – Renowned Papers Edition, AI Infused

Local sources from Poland: GazetaPrawna.pl, Wiadomości – Onet.
UK coverage: POLITICO Europe.

Donald Tusk was sworn in as the new Prime Minister of Poland on Wednesday, promising that his government will prioritize adherence to the country’s constitution. This is seen as a direct challenge to the previous Law and Justice government, which was accused of violating the constitution to gain political control over the justice system. Tusk’s emphasis on the rule of law is an attempt to repair relations with the European Union, which has withheld billions of euros in grants and loans due to Poland’s democratic backsliding.

While Tusk aims to focus on domestic politics, including judicial system reforms and purging loyalists from government-controlled companies, there are concerns that President Andrzej Duda may block these measures. However, both Tusk and Duda have pledged to work together for the good of the country.

The butterfly effect is a phenomenon associated with determinism, and examples of it can be found in global security. Disrupting its system leads to global attention being focused on a particular issue and the possibility of other violators of this order taking action. Russia understands this perfectly, as it assembles a grotesque coalition of enemies of democracy.

The temporary ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, known as a humanitarian truce, was a good opportunity to summarize the military and political actions of the past weeks. Some prisoners were exchanged, although armed incidents still occurred. However, this was just a breather before the next battle.

Israeli media reports that plans for Hamas attacks had been appearing for at least a year, and the authorities ignored the numerous reports. The command believed that the information was exaggerated. In Israel, there are currently popular theories that the attack was deliberately provoked to give Benjamin Netanyahu a pretext to send the army into the Gaza Strip.

Israel’s goals are also unclear. The official ones are to kill all Hamas members. Currently, it is estimated that 10 percent, or about a thousand members of the radical organization out of 100,000, have been killed. The total number of people suspected of terrorism who were supposed to be killed is around 2,000. At the same time, about 15,000 civilians have lost their lives. War follows its own rules, but statistics show that during operations to kill Hamas members, up to 100,000 civilians may die. Such an operation will undoubtedly have its political costs, both domestically and internationally. Furthermore, Israel has no plan for victory, for an effective occupation.

According to Dr. Wojciech Szewko, an expert at the National Center for Strategic Studies on the Middle East, Israel’s goal may be to “kill such a large number of people, destroy such a large number of civilian homes, hospitals, schools, so that a potential attacker would think whether such an image – meaning tens of thousands of wounded and killed, over a million displaced – is his goal to attack Israel.” Israel’s military doctrine is therefore the “example of horror,” and it is likely that this is not the end.

Hamas will certainly fight for “survival.” Paradoxically, Israel will not destroy its support. At the beginning of the conflict, two-thirds of Palestinians supported the organization, and currently, support reaches almost 80 percent. Therefore, the threat is more related to the loss of personnel due to Israeli military actions than to the influx of “fresh blood.”

The key to understanding the peace process lies in the 1967 Six-Day War. As a result of this conflict, Israel occupied an area of 65,000 square kilometers. The Gaza Strip and the Sinai Peninsula were captured. Israeli naval access to the Tiran Strait was opened, eliminating the Palestinian fedayeen bases that had been continuously harassing Israeli territory. The Golan Heights were also occupied, allowing Israelis to control the most convenient natural barrier separating their state from the enemy’s territory. The occupation of the West Bank led to the border being based on the militarily advantageous Jordan River and gaining access to extremely valuable water sources. The capture of the Old City in Jerusalem had significant psychological significance. Changing the shape of the state’s borders also increased its defensibility.

Spokesperson for the Ministry of Health, Ashraf al-Kidra, told Al-Jazeera TV that a total of approximately 49,500 people have been injured in Israeli attacks, including over 550 in the past 24 hours. These figures have not been independently verified. Israeli officials have repeatedly stated that they believe this number to be significantly lower, accusing Hamas of inflating the estimates.

Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, resulting in the deaths of around 1,200 people. Currently, retaliatory operations by Israeli forces in the Gaza Strip are ongoing.

The only possible solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict is the concept of two states coexisting side by side. However, the wounds inflicted in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict push this solution further away by decades.

As the situation in the region continues to deteriorate, it is important to remember that the more actions are carried out in which civilians are killed, the lower Israel’s ratings in the world. This could have an impact on political and technological cooperation, as well as on tourism, which is one of the important driving forces of Israel’s economy.

It is clear that the Israel-Hamas conflict is far from over, and the international community must continue to work towards a peaceful resolution. The only way to ensure a lasting peace is to ensure that all sides are committed to the process and that the human cost of war is kept to a minimum.